Tuesday, October 9, 2007

Incorporating Price Action into a Forex Trading System

Trading the Forex market has become very popular in the last few years. But how difficult is it to achieve success in the Forex trading arena? Or let me rephrase this question, how many traders achieve consistent profitable results trading the Forex market? Unfortunately very few, only 5% of traders achieve this goal. One of the main reasons of this is because Forex traders focus in the wrong information to make their trading decisions and totally forget about the most important factor: Price behavior.

Most Forex trading systems are made off technical indicators (a moving average (MA) crossover, overbought/oversold conditions in an oscillator, etc.) But what are technical indicators? They are just a series of data points plotted in a chart; these points are derived from a mathematical formula applied to the price of any given currency pair. In other words, it is a chart of price plotted in a different way that helps us see other aspects of price.

There is an important implication on this definition of technical indicators. The fact that the readings obtained from them are based on price action. Take for instance a long MA crossover signal, the price has gone up enough to make the short period MA crossover the long period MA generating a long signal. Most traders see it as “the MA crossover made the price go up,” but it happened the other way around, the MA crossover signal occurred because the price went up. Where I'm trying to get here is that at the end, price behavior dictates how an indicator will act, and this should be taken into consideration on any trading decision made.

Trading decisions based on technical indicators without taking price action into consideration will give us less accurate results. For example, again a long signal generated by a MA crossover as the market approaches an important resistance level. If the price suddenly starts to bounce back off that important level there is no point on taking this signal, price action is telling us the market doesn't want to go up. Most of the time, under this circumstances, the market will continue to fall down, disregarding the MA crossover.

Don't get us wrong here, technical indicators are a very important aspect of trading. They help us see certain conditions that are otherwise difficult to see by watching pure price action. But when it comes to pull the trigger, price action incorporation into our Forex trading system will definitely put the odds in our favor, it will generate higher probability trades.

So, how to create a perfect Forex trading system?

First of all, you need to make sure your trading system fits your trading personality; otherwise you will find it hard to follow it. Every trader has different needs and goals, thus there is no system that perfectly fits all traders. You need to make your own research on various trading styles and technical indicators until you find a concept that perfectly works for you. Make sure you know the nature of whatever technical indicator used.

Secondly, incorporate price action into your system. So you only take long signals if the price behavior tells you the market wants to go up, and short signals if the market gives you indication that it will go down.

Third, and most importantly, you need to have the discipline to follow your Forex trading system rigorously. Try it first on a demo account, then move on to a small account and finally when feeling comfortably and being consistent profitable apply your system in a regular account.

http://www.straightforex.com/perfect.html

Brief Description: Basics of Online Share Trading

Author: john

Online Trading?
A stock broker is a qualified and regulated professional who buys and sells shares and other securities through market makers on behalf of investors.
The increasingly popular activity of buying and selling securities over the internet, or to a lesser extent, through a broker’s proprietary software.

Stock Exchange
A stock exchange, share market or bourse is a corporation or mutual organization which provides facilities for stock brokers and traders, to trade company stocks and other securities, Shares, equity are traded in stock exchange. India has two big stock exchanges ,Bombay Stock Exchange - BSE and National Stock Exchange - NSE and few small exchanges like Jaipur Stock Exchange etc.

Stock Trading
Stock trading is done at a stock exchanges, which are places where buyers and sellers meet and decide on a price. raditionally stock trading is done through stock brokers, personally or through telephones. Stock trading is affected by supply and demand. Online stock trading is considered one of the best ways for almost anyone to get in on the market. One of the best resources out there on the internet today for the investor looking to educate him or her self about online stock trading is http://dowtrend.com and http://tradelikethepros.com. Online stock trading is all about selecting the best stock opportunities and following your buy and sell signals.Investor can trade shares through a website without any manual intervention from Stock Broker.

Stock Broker
A stock broker is a qualified and regulated professional who buys and sells shares and other securities through market makers on behalf of investors.
Only stock brokers can directly buy and sell shares in Stock Market. An investor must contact a stock broker to trade stocks. Broker charge commissions (brokerages) for their service. Brokerage is usually a percent of total amount of trade and varies from broker to broker.

Online trading has many pros. There are several wonderful reasons to invest online and consider online trading.

Benefits of Online Trading:

1. One can trade live on stock exchange irrespective of location.

2. Money saving opportunities
The amount of money you save depends primarily on the online brokerage firm that you choose. No two firms are the same. There may be different regulations, similar to bank regulations. There are minimum deposits required that must be maintained.

3. Instant online access
Orders directly send to stock exchanges rather then stock broker. This makes order execution very fast.

4. Enter online trades at anytime
You can enter online trades at anytime and from anywhere. This is very convenient if you live in a different time zone than the country you are trading in. Not to mention, it is especially fit for investors with busy schedules.

5. You are in control of your investments. No sales pitches and no hassle. You decide where to invest your money.

6. It provides almost each and every information which is required to a trader on a single screen including stock market charts, live data, alerts, stock market news etc.

Article Publish by: www.investmentbankingcentral.com

Article Tags: Ipo, Money And Banking, Infinite Banking, Free Insurance Quote, Insurance Ratings, What Is Investment Banking Technique, Affordable Individual Health Insurance, Corporate Finance Articles Resources, Brokerage Firms Insurance Brokerage, Banking Investments

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/brief-description-basics-of-online-share-trading-228618.html

About the Author:

John Parker working on this site www.investmentbankingcentral.com. My job is to provide latest information, news regarding what is investment banking technique, affordable individual health insurance, corporate finance articles resources, brokerage firms insurance brokerage, banking investments, money and banking, infinite banking, free insurance quote, insurance ratings, ipo india, Investment Banking Salaries, investment firms, top investment banking firms, Venture Capital India, venture capital firms, Venture Capital Companies, Corporate banking, Venture Capital Funds, venture capital india by
publishing the articles.

Forex Scalping – Day Trading the Smaller Moves for Big Gains

Author: Kelly Price

The forex scalper who day traders does not look to make big profits per trade he seeks a lot of small profits over time that mount up and yield huge FX Profits overtime. Let’s look at forex scalping in more detail.

More novice traders try forex scalping than any other method and there is a huge industry on the net, which sells courses and forex day trading systems, to help them achieve their dreams.

Unfortunately, that’s all they are dreams - because Forex scalping simply has never worked and cannot work.

It simply guarantees you will get wiped out.

Why?

Its obvious and common sense. Millions of traders each day, trade trillions of dollars and to say that you can work out what this huge mass of traders will do in just a few hours, is laughable.

ALL Short term price moves are random.

Volatility can and does take prices anywhere in daily time frames and support and resistance levels are not valid - you can’t get the odds on your side and you will lose.

So Why Do So Many People Do it?

Well it’s a good story and the majority of forex scalping systems are sold with one aim in mind:

To make money the vendor is much to sensible to trade it himself – he makes his money appealing to greed and selling it to a naive buyer, who then losses.

The vendor pockets the profit and the buyer gets a hard lesson in the market he wont forget.

But I Have seen track records that make money!

Sure, you have – but check the disclaimer and you will see the words - "hypothetical" and "simulated".

Now this means that the track record was done in hindsight and simulated - KNOWING the closing prices!

How hard is that? A child, or anyone who can read and write can do that!

The problem with forex scalping comes when you have to trade it not knowing the closing prices, then the reality hits – a swift wipe-out of equity.

If you really want to prove this for yourself ask a vendor this simple question:

Can I please see YOUR track record of real time profits over 2 years or more?

Go ahead and try it and see what they say.

You won’t get one, or if you do, let me know - I have been asking this question for 25 years and never got one.

Forex day trading is a good story like little Harry Potter, the one the thing they have in common is their both made up.

So if you want to win and make money at forex trading, forget forex day trading and forex scalping and get the odds on your side.

This means, trading valid data and getting the odds on your side.

Try forex swing trading or long term trend following – both can work and you will be trading with the odds.

If you want to win at forex trading, then you need to do your homework and at least try methods that trade the odds, with forex scalping you could flip a coin and have as much chance of success.

Finally, maybe I am being a bit hard on scalpers and day traders if you find the elusive track record that makes money longer term, send it to me wonder what the odds are of that not happening?

Article Tags: Forex Trading, Currency Trading, Forex Day Trading, Forex Scalping, Forex Scalping For Beginners

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/forex-scalping-day-trading-the-smaller-moves-for-big-gains-229607.html

About the Author:

NEW! FREE 2 x CRITICAL TRADER PDFS - NEWSLETTERS - TRADING ALERTS + MORE

On all aspects of becoming a profitable trader including: Free critical trader PDFS, and more FREE Forex Education visit our website at:
http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com/index.html

Managing Money Online

Author: andy tao

You’re bank will more than likely have internet banking, this is a great tool which will allow you to sort and manage all of your finances out from a computer connected to the internet. Make sure you sign up as soon as possible to have the ease of paying all your bills from the comfort of your own home, you will never need to wait in those nasty bank cues waiting to see an advisor again as we all know how annoying they can be.

Having access to your bank online will give you many great benefits such as being able to check your bank balance without leaving your house, not only that but you can search previous statements and print them off so that you have a hard copy. It gives you full control of funds leaving your bank as you can set up or manage any direct debits you have set up on your account. It will display how much they are for and when the last and next date they are due to come out.

All you need to get started is a bank account with a company that support internet banking, go to their website and sign up for it if you haven’t got a username and password. Once you have filled in your details you will be given a username and a password, you often have to set a secret question to ensure maximum safety. Not many people trust online banking but the banking website has up to date firewalls and other security measures to keep your details private and out of the hands of other people.

If you forget your login, you often can find it out by filling in your sort code, account number, date of birth and certain digits from your security number which you set up with the bank when you originally set the account up. This will then give you access to your online banking interface. Make sure that you never leave any sensitive details lying around giving people the chance to access your account as they could withdraw your money or make payments from the interface and you would not be able to claim any of it back unless you can prove it wasn’t you that spent the money.

As long as you careful with your details you will be fine, you can always apply for online statements only which will reduce the chance of someone getting hold of your details.

Article Tags: Finance, Money, Banking, Firewall, Bank Account, Online Banking, Hostgator, Direct Debit, Security Number

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/finance-articles/managing-money-online-228367.html

About the Author:

Andy Tao
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AI: Alpha and Index Funds

Author: Bill Byrnes

A current theme among Wall Street wealth managers is for individual investors to have index funds as their core holdings and to focus the remainder of their assets in high alpha investments, which will produce returns not correlated with the market.

A quick digression for those of you who aren't familiar with alpha and beta. In traditional finance, return not correlated with a broad market index, such as the S& P 500, is referred to as alpha.

The return which is correlated to the market is beta. An index fund should have the same return (positive or negative) as the index it mimics. (One of the controversies surrounding some ETFs is their performance has not tracked their underlying index.)

The theory behind Alpha and Index Funds is multi fold: 1. the major indices are a good place for an investor to be, both from a risk and return perspective; 2. you can't outperform the major indices, so don't waste your time; 3. find those investment niches with high alphas to increase your return and reduce the overall risk in your portfolio.

Even if you don't subscribe to this theory, you might find it an interesting exercise to review the alphas -- every investment has one -- of your current holdings. They will tell you something about the correlation and diversification of your portfolio.

Where to focus your alpha energy? Investments in real estate, commodities, and energy are less correlated with the stock market (although I've never thought commodities were suitable for individual investors).

The Wall Street pros also recommend stock fund mangers who have unique strategies and can demonstrate a high alpha relative to the market (and, of course, positive relative performance).

Ask your investment adviser for suggestions. The alphas for individual mutual funds (and individual stocks) are available from some brokers and online premium services.

Alpha and index fund investing makes a great deal of sense. You know what to expect in terms of risk and return when you invest in an index fund.

Having a portion of your portfolio in index funds leaves you free to concentrate your investment time and energy (think alpha waves) on those investments which can make a difference.

Picking high alpha investments, which by their nature are less correlated with the stock market, should reduce the risk/volatility of your portfolio and, depending upon the investment, provide above market returns.

Article Tags: Stock Market, Mutual Fund, Index Fund Investing, Alpha Investment

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/finance-articles/ai-alpha-and-index-funds-229421.html

About the Author:

Bill Byrnes is co-founder of MUTUALdecision, top mutual fundsa, providing investors with data on the top mutual funds, and author of the MUTUALdecision Blog. He's been CEO, chairman and served on the board of directors of several public and private companies. He holds MBA and JD degrees and is a Chartered Financial Analyst with over 30 years experience in the investment industry.

Saturday, October 6, 2007

Forex Leverage: A Double-Edged Sword

One of the reasons why so many people are attracted to trading forex compared to other financial instruments is that with forex, you can usually get much higher leverage than you would with stocks. While many traders have heard of the word leverage, few have a clue about what leverage is, how leverage works, and how leverage can directly impact their bottom line. (To learn more, see How does leverage work in the forex market?)

What is leverage?
Leverage involves borrowing a certain amount of the money needed to invest in something. In the case of forex, that money is usually borrowed from a broker. Forex trading does offer high leverage in the sense that for an initial margin requirement, a trader can build up - and control - a huge amount of money.

To calculate margin-based leverage, divide the total transaction value by the amount of margin you are required to put up. (For more insight, check out Margin Trading.)

Margin-Based Leverage =
Total Value of Transaction
Margin Required

For example, if you are required to deposit 1% of the total transaction value as margin and you intend to trade one standard lot of USD/CHF which is equivalent to US$100,000, the margin required would be US$1,000. Thus, your margin-based leverage will be 100:1 (100,000/1,000). For a margin requirement of just 0.25%, the margin-based leverage will be 400:1, using the same formula.

Margin-Based Leverage Expressed as Ratio Margin Required of Total Transaction Value
400:1 0.25%
200:1 0.50%
100:1 1.00%
50:1 2.00%

However, margin-based leverage does not necessarily affect one's risks. Whether a trader is required to put up 1% or 2% of the transaction value as margin may not influence his or her profits or losses. This is because investor can always attribute more than the required margin for any position. What you need to look at is the real leverage, not margin-based leverage.

To calculate the real leverage you are currently using, simply divide the total face value of your open positions by your trading capital.


Real Leverage =
Total Value of Transaction
Total Trading Capital

For example, if you have $10,000 in your account, and you open a $100,000 position (which is equivalent to one standard lot), you will be trading with a 10 times leverage on your account (100,000/10,000). If you trade two standard lots, which is worth $200,000 in face value with $10,000 in your account, then your leverage on the account is 20 times (200,000/10,000).

This also means that the margin-based leverage is equal to the maximum real leverage a trader can use. And since most traders do not use their entire accounts as margin for each of their trades, their real leverage tends to differ from their margin-based leverage.

Leverage in Forex Trading
In trading, we monitor the currency movements in pips, which is the smallest change in currency price, and that could be in the second or fourth decimal place of a price, depending on the currency pair. However, these movements are really just fractions of a cent. For example, when a currency pair like the GBP/USD moves 100 pips from 1.9500 to 1.9600, that is just a $0.01 move of the exchange rate.

This is why currency transactions must be carried out in big amounts, allowing these minute price movements to be translated into decent profits when magnified through the use of leverage. When you deal with a large amount like $100,000, small changes in the price of the currency can result in significant profits or losses.

When trading forex, you are given the freedom and the flexibility to select your real leverage amount based on your trading style, personality and money management preferences.

Risk of Excessive Real Leverage
Real leverage has the potential to enlarge your profits or losses by the same magnitude. The greater the amount of leverage on capital you apply, the higher the risk that you will assume. Note that this risk is not necessarily related to margin-based leverage although it can influence if a trader is not careful.

Let's illustrate this point with an example (See Figure 1).

Both Trader A and Trader B have a trading capital of US$10,000, and they trade with a broker that requires a 1% margin deposit. After doing some analysis, both of them agree that USD/JPY is hitting a top and should fall in value. Therefore, both of them short the USD/JPY at 120.

Trader A chooses to apply 50 times real leverage on this trade by shorting US$500,000 worth of USD/JPY (50 x $10,000) based on his $10,000 trading capital. Because USD/JPY stands at 120, one pip of USD/JPY for one standard lot is worth approximately US$8.30, so one pip of USD/JPY for five standard lots is worth approximately US$41.50. If USD/JPY rises to 121, Trader A will lose 100 pips on this trade, which is equivalent to a loss of US$4,150. This single loss will represent a whopping 41.5% of his total trading capital.


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Trader B is a more careful trader and decides to apply five times real leverage on this trade by shorting US$50,000 worth of USD/JPY (5 x $10,000) based on his $10,000 trading capital. That $50,000 worth of USD/JPY equals to just one-half of 1 standard lot. If USD/JPY rises to 121, Trader B will lose 100 pips on this trade, which is equivalent to a loss of $415. This single loss represents 4.15% of his total trading capital.

Refer to the chart below to see how the trading accounts of these two traders compare after the 100-pip loss.

- Trader A Trader B
Trading Capital $10,000 $10,000
Real Leverage Used 50 times 5 times
Total Value of Transaction $500,000 $50,000
In the Case of a 100-Pip Loss -$4,150 -$415
% Loss of Trading Capital 41.5% 4.15%
% of Trading Capital Remaining 58.5% 95.8%
Figure 1: All figures in U.S. dollars

Excessive Leverage Can Kill
With a smaller amount of real leverage applied on each trade, you can afford to give your trade more breathing space by setting a wider but reasonable stop and avoiding risking too much of your money. A highly leveraged trade can quickly deplete your trading account if it goes against you as you will rack up greater losses due to bigger lot sizes. Keep in mind that leverage is totally flexible and customizable to each trader's needs. Having an aim of trading profitably is not about making your millions by the end of this month or this year.

For more on trading this market, see the Forex Market tutorial.
By Grace Cheng, See Grace's Forex blog at www.gracecheng.com,
Access Investopedia's Forex Advisor FREE Report - The 5 Things That Move The Currency Market

Grace Cheng is a forex trader, creator of the PowerFX Course and author of "7 Winning Strategies for Trading Forex" (2007, Harriman House). This revealing book explains how traders can use various market conditions to their advantage by tailoring a strategy to suit each one. The book is a perfect complement to the PowerFX Course. The PowerFX Course, designed for both new and current traders, teaches tools and trading approaches that combine technicals, fundamentals and the psychology of trading forex. It also includes Grace's proprietary tips and tricks. Grace's works have been published in The Trader's Journal, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, Smart Investor and other leading trading/investment publications.

Visit her popular forex blog at www.GraceCheng.com.

Win at Forex Trading – the Major Problem you Must Confront to Enjoy Success

Author: Kelly Price

There is one problem that most forex traders fail to come to terms with and lose and its operating in an unstructured environment – this is the major underlying reason traders lose, so lets it explain it and its significance in more detail.

In normal society we confirm to rules and laws they govern our lives and those of our fellow citizens, were used to them and we conform to them.

When a forex trader trades, he has to operate in an unstructured environment and create his own rules to live and survive by.

This sounds easy enough to achieve, however nothing could be further from the truth – it’s very hard and most traders simply can’t achieve it.

Let’s take a closer look at the problems associated with operating in an unstructured environment.

1. Taking Responsibility For Your Actions.

This means taking charge of your destiny and most people simply cannot accept this responsibility.

They want the comfort of having someone to hold their hand and blame if thinks go wrong.

Problem is if you don’t accept responsibility, you won’t win - no one else will make you rich in Forex trading, you’re all on your own.

2. You Have To Create a Set of Rules to Survive

The market which you confront is all powerful, it moves as and when it wants – it’s always right and you can only be wrong .

Again, this causes major psychological problems for traders – we all hate being wrong, but in this instance you have to accept the market is right ALL the time, if you don’t you will run loses and the market will destroy you.

Most traders get frustrated and break their rules, or create a new set as they lose and end up chasing their tail. If you create rules you must have the discipline to apply them and most traders simply lack the mindset to do this.

3. The Work Ethic Does Not Apply

Most people try and overcome losses with a higher work rate.

After all the more you put in the more you get out. They assume if they acquire more knowledge or trade more often, their profitability will increase but the markets won’t reward effort.

You get your reward for being RIGHT and that’s it in forex trading, not the effort you put in.

4. Forex Traders Need To Be Anti Social!

We don’t mean you have to be rude to anyone - but you need to keep yourself to yourself and stay away from the pack and its opinions when trading forex.

Remember 95% of forex traders lose!

We find this uncomfortable.

After all, were pack animals and since stone age times we have sought comfort and belonging with others of our species. When we go against the majority opinion, we feel uncomfortable, as were simply not used to it.

Operating in the forex markets is far harder than many people think and most traders are simply unprepared for the mental problems that it confronts them with.

You will hear often that it is mindset more than method that contributes to success in the markets and its true.

If you have ever wondered why traders find it so hard to trade with discipline, this article may have helped you see why and given you an insight into what you need to do to achieve currency trading success।


Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/win-at-forex-trading-the-major-problem-you-must-confront-to-enjoy-success-226574.html
About the Author:

NEW! FREE 2 x CRITICAL TRADER PDFS - NEWSLETTERS - TRADING ALERTS + MORE

On all aspects of becoming a profitable trader including: Free critical trader PDFS, and more FREE Forex Education visit our website at:
http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com/index.html