Forex Trading – to Win you Must Understand This Simple Equation!

Author: Kelly Price

If you are new to Forex trading if you don’t understand the simple equation we will outline in this article you will join the 95% of traders who lose. The equation is simple but its implications for your currency trading success are huge.

Here is the equation and below are some points you need to take into account when implementing your forex trading strategy.

The equation is

Fundamentals ( immediately discounted) + Investor Perception ( logic greed and fear) = Price Movement

Simple?

Yes - but these are the critical points you need to understand in relation to the above:

1. Trading News Will Not Help You

We live in a world of instant communications and the fundamentals are immediately discounted by the market so you cannot trade them for profit.

2. Prices Do Not Move Logically

If they did we would all make money prices move away from the fundamentals and the price direction can be the exact opposite of what logic tells you. Why?

Because traders all have the same facts to look at but draw their own conclusions about what they mean and when greed and fear come into play prices move in mysterious ways.

3. Markets Do Not Move Scientifically

Ever read about being able to predict markets in advance? You cant! You cannot predict what a broad mass of emotion will do to the markets in advance – trading is a game of odds not science.

If markets were scientific, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market!

The above points are true, yet most traders simply do not take them into account when developing a forex trading strategy - but unless you understand the above you will never win.

So How Do You Win?

The best way is to let the market tell you which way prices are going - this means simply following price action and using forex charts.

Forex charts take into account the fundamentals (they simply assume they are discounted instantly) but they do something more:

They give you the big picture i.e how the investors perceive them.

While human nature cannot be reduced to science, human nature is constant and price spikes away from the long term fundamentals NEVER last long and these are easy to spot and trade for profit.

Forex technical analysis simply postulates that you should act on the reality of price and the price is right - no matter what you or I think.

By trading the price as it is, you are trading the truth without imposing your opinion.

Most traders try and impose their opinions or try and predict in advance where prices may go - but this is doomed to failure and that’s why 95% of forex traders lose.

TRADE THE ODDS!

There are no certainties when you trade only probabilities and it is these you need to look at and trade when the odds are in your favour – you won’t win every trade just as a successful poker or blackjack player doesn’t win every hand - but by trading the odds, you will win more than you lose over time enjoy currency trading success.

Today, many traders buy rubbish courses and e-books that tell them they can win consistently, because markets move to a set pattern, so they can predict in advance what will happen – they don’t work.

If you want to win, you need to forget the idea that trading is easy, its not - that’s why the rewards are so high.

However, forex trading can be learned by anyone with the desire to get the right forex education and learn to trade the odds.

Currency trading success involves looking at price and calculating the odds of success and you can do this via forex charts - over time if you can spot and trade the high odds set ups and make a lot of money – it really is that simple.

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/forex-trading-to-win-you-must-understand-this-simple-equation-219146.html

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